| 祖力亚尔·塔力甫,褚宏宇,赵艺皓,钟盼亮,郭帅,李建军,郑晓瑛.中国人口康复服务需求、供给与利用——基于多源数据的实证分析[J].中国康复,2026,41(2):104-111 |
| 中国人口康复服务需求、供给与利用——基于多源数据的实证分析 |
| Need, supply, and utilization of rehabilitation services in China: an empirical analysis based on multi-source data |
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| DOI：10.3870/zgkf.2026.02.008 |
| 中文关键词: 康复服务 需要与供给 残疾 老龄化 慢性病 |
| 英文关键词: rehabilitation services need and supply disability aging chronic disease |
| 基金项目:中国博士后科学基金资助项目（2024M760259）；我国老年人口卫生健康服务需求与利用研究（2023P253QG041） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 目的：探究我国康复服务需要变化趋势，梳理我国康复服务的供给情况，为完善康复服务体系提供数据支持与政策建议。方法：基于多源数据，系统分析我国老年人口、老年失能人口规模变化趋势；分析各类残疾人口和四大主要慢病患病规模变化趋势；以及我国各类康复机构及专业人员规模变化趋势，我国残疾人口以及老年人的康复服务利用现状。结果：我国康复服务需要群体规模持续扩大，康复服务供给能力持续上升，但康复专业人员配备较推荐水平有较大差距，残疾人基本康复服务尚未全覆盖，服务利用水平极不均衡，康复服务利用率水平仍处于较低水平。结论：我国康复服务体系在供给扩张的同时，正面临需要激增、人才短缺与利用低效的三重挑战。未来康复服务体系完善需着力于破解结构性矛盾，重点提升各类群体的康复服务可及性，加速填补高素质康复人才缺口，创新康复模式，进而系统性提升康复服务体系效能，助力实现全民健康覆盖。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Objective: To explore the evolving trends in the needs for rehabilitation services in China, review the current supply of these services, and provide data support and policy recommendations for improving the rehabilitation service system. Methods: Utilizing multi-source data, this study systematically examines the trends in the size of China’s elderly population and the disabled elderly population. It also analyzes prevalence trends for various types of disabilities and four major chronic diseases (hypertension, diabetes, chronic respiratory diseases, and cancer). Furthermore, the study investigates trends in the number of rehabilitation institutions and professionals, as well as the current utilization of rehabilitation services among disabled and elderly populations. Results: The population in need of rehabilitation services in China continues to grow. While the supply capacity of rehabilitation services has increased, significant gaps remain: the allocation of qualified rehabilitation professionals falls considerably short of recommended levels, basic rehabilitation services for persons with disabilities are not yet fully covered, and the utilization rate of rehabilitation services among the elderly remains low. Conclusion: China’s rehabilitation service system is concurrently facing a triple challenge: surging need, a severe shortage of qualified professionals, and inefficient service utilization. Future system improvements must prioritize resolving these structural mismatches. Strategic priorities should include a paradigm shift from broad coverage to targeted accessibility for all key groups, bridg-ing the high-quality talent gap, and promoting innovative models. These concerted efforts are essential to systemically enhance the efficiency of the rehabilitation service system and advance the strategic goal of universal health coverage. |
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